BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Montana St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 22 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  138.16

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Home    W   139.86  26  23   1B  20 (  5-  6) Western Illinois        2.44      0.56                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   130.15  14  45   1B   4 ( 10-  3) South Dakota St        -7.27    -23.73                      
  3 09/15/2018 Home    W   129.96  47  24   1B 106 (  4-  7) Wagner                 -7.46     30.46                      
  4 09/22/2018 Away    W * 149.13  43  23   1B  57 (  4-  7) Portland St            11.71      8.29                      
  5 09/29/2018 Home    L * 139.90  17  34   1B   2 ( 12-  2) Eastern Washington      2.48    -19.48                      
  6 10/13/2018 Home    W * 125.72  24  23   1B  52 (  4-  7) Idaho                 -11.70     12.70                      
  7 10/20/2018 Away    L * 134.68  24  34   1B  13 ( 10-  3) Weber St               -2.74     -7.26                      
  8 10/27/2018 Away    L * 131.43  17  24   1B  27 (  6-  5) Idaho St               -5.99     -1.01                      
  9 11/03/2018 Home    W * 134.35  49  42   1B  47 (  5-  6) Cal Poly SLO           -3.08     10.08                      
 10 11/10/2018 Home    W * 148.02  35   7   1B  77 (  2-  9) Northern Colorado      10.59     17.41                      
 11 11/17/2018 Away    W * 143.81  29  25   1B  26 (  6-  5) Montana                 6.39     -2.39                      
 12 11/24/2018 Home    W   150.95  35  14   1B  41 (  6-  5) Incarnate Word         13.53      7.47                      
 13 12/01/2018 Away    L   128.52  10  52   1B   1 ( 14-  0) North Dakota St        -8.90 *  -33.10                      
      Averages             137.42  28.5 28.5

Best game:  150.95 = 21 point win over Incarnate Word
Worst game: 125.72 = 1 point win over Idaho
Team stdev:   8.48